Update on the Severe Weather Threat for Tonight and Tomorrow

March 30, 2025

🌩️ Weather Summary: Enhanced Severe Weather Risk Tonight-Monday

🌙 Tonight into Early Monday (Northwest Alabama/Eastern & Central Tennessee)

• Enhanced Risk Area: North and Central-Northwest Alabama and Central to Eastern Tennessee

  • Main Threats: Damaging winds (30% chance), tornadoes (5% chance), hail (5% chance)

  • Extreme Northwest: Higher risk area with 10% tornado risk and 45% damaging wind risk

• Slight Risk Area: South and east of Enhanced Risk

  • 2% tornado risk, 10% damaging wind chance, 5% hail chance in some areas

• Marginal Risk Area: Extends to Coastal Alabama Florida Panhandle (east to Panama City)

  • 2% tornado chance, 5% chances for damaging winds and hail

• Timing: Main risk occurs just after midnight into Monday morning (progressing northwest to southeast)

Eastern Tennessee

Huntsville Area

Montgomery-Birmingham

🌤️ Monday Morning into the Afternoon (Southeast Alabama/Florida Panhandle)

• Enhanced Risk Area: Large portion of central/south Alabama and Florida Panhandle (away from immediate coast)

  • 10% tornado chance, 30% damaging wind chance, 15% hail chance

• Slight Risk Area:

  • South: Alabama and Florida Panhandle coastal areas (Mobile, Pensacola, Destin, Panama City)

  • North: Birmingham to northeast corner of Alabama

  • 5% tornado chance, 15% chances for damaging winds and hail

• Marginal Risk Area: Northwest Alabama and Tennessee

• Timing: For northern areas, early Monday; for Birmingham southward, morning to mid-afternoon

Mobile-Pensacola

Destin-Panama City

🔮 Future Weather Systems

• Wednesday-Thursday: Potential severe weather for northwest/northern Alabama and central Tennessee

• Sunday-Monday (April 6-7): Another system moving through the Southeast with possible severe weather potential

Day 4 - Wednesday

Day 5 - Thursday

That's it for today, stay weather-aware and have multiple ways to receive warnings! ⚠️

Chris

Heading Into an Active Weather Pattern - Several Days of Severe Weather Are Possible

March 28, 2025

🌩️ Weather Summary: Active Weather Ahead

🔮 Upcoming Severe Weather Outlook - More Details to Come Later

• Saturday:

  • Rain and storms begin overnight tonight and persist through Saturday.

  • A break in the rain is expected later Saturday into Sunday morning.

• Sunday–Monday:

• Sunday Afternoon/Evening: A second disturbance brings the first chance of severe weather.

• Risk Area: Marginal to Enhanced Risk from central Tennessee, northwest Alabama, to the eastern Florida Panhandle.

• Threats: Damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes possible.

• Monday: Risk shifts south and east, covering most of Alabama, eastern Tennessee, and the entire Florida Panhandle.

• Midweek (Wednesday–Thursday):

• Wednesday: Another system moves in with a 15% chance of severe weather for northwest Alabama and Tennessee (again, all hazards possible).

• Thursday: Confidence is lower; risk area may extend south and east—updates to follow.

⚠️ Stay Prepared

• Monitor forecasts as details evolve for Sunday through Thursday.

• Have a safety plan in place for all severe weather hazards.

Stay safe and weather-aware during this active pattern! 🌦️

Chris