Deep South Weather Outlook February 4-12

February 3, 2020

Let me try again, this time with pictures!

Synopsis: expect the same weather pattern to continue for at least the next week and a half with rain every 2-4 days. Severe weather is possible mid-week but I don't think it'll be a major event. Temps are gradually warming as our days get longer, with no extreme lows or highs in the near future.

First up for today is an update on the severe weather threat mid-week. As you can see below there is a threat for the deep south from late Tuesday through Thursday. Timing is still uncertain but it looks like the worst of it will be from Wednesday night through Thursday night with the threat moving east over time. Nighttime events can be more dangerous so make sure you have a way of receiving alerts that'll wake you up. We'll have better info early Wednesday but I think the main threat will be damaging winds with hail and tornadoes also possible.

Also with this system expect a multi-day rain event beginning in northern areas with the heaviest rain Wednesday night and Thursday, some areas may even exceed 3".

On the back side the northern areas may see some frozen precip Thursday and Friday but if so not a lot of accumulation. It's a low probability event at this point.

After this system clears the area later Thursday or early Friday we'll see our next front Saturday. This one looks to mainly impact people from Montgomery north and should clear out late Saturday or midday Sunday, keeping in mind timing this far out is uncertain. Rain totals wont be very high from this one, probably less than an additional 0.5" of rain.

Beyond the weekend we'll see the next system Monday evening, perhaps followed by another Wednesday evening.

Regarding temps, expect above average highs through most of the week and near average highs from the end of the week through the weekend and early next week. Lows will also remain above average most of the week. After the front passes at the end of the week northern areas can expect near average lows and areas from mid-Alabama south slightly below average lows for a few days.

I'll send out an update on the severe weather threat early Wednesday.

Have a great week.