April 18, 2020
The SPC has increased the severe weather risk for tomorrow as of their 12:30p.m. update. A moderate risk area (red) has been added and a large portion of our area remains in an enhanced (orange) risk area with other areas in slight (yellow) or marginal (dark green) risk areas. The moderate risk was added due to an increasing risk of strong tornadoes. Tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail are all possible including the possibility for significant severe weather in the black hatched areas. Remember that significant severe is EF-2 or stronger tornadoes, winds greater than 75mph, and hail larger than 2".
Timing is kind of messy with severe weather possible all day in the south anywhere there are storms. It sounds like earlier storms will be more of a hail threat. Expect tornadoes and damaging winds threats later especially in the afternoon and into the evening and even through morning near the coast. Below is simulated radar through Monday morning. Just remember not to look at the animation and expect the weather and timing to be exactly like it is shown. All it takes is for a severe storm to come down your street for it to matter for you so be prepared.
Just so that you're aware, there is a marginal risk for severe weather across the Panhandle and southern Alabama today with the main threats being wind and hail for the Panhandle and southern Alabama (there is a low tornado threat elsewhere).
Enjoy your Saturday! I'll send out another update tomorrow morning.
Chris
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