October 24, 2020
Invest 95L was upgraded to Tropical Depression 28 at 4 p.m. CDT. The forecast cone outlines the general trend we were seeing from the models earlier. One change from this morning is that the intensity guidance has increased a bit and the NHC shows TD 28 becoming a hurricane about 3 days from now and then weakening as it approaches the coast later in the week. The NHC's discussion does mention uncertainty with both the track and intensity forecast, with the current intensity forecast perhaps being on the high side.
Have a good evening.
Chris
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