November 5, 2020
I've been waiting for better information before sending an update on Eta. We still don't know a whole lot but since it's getting near the end of the week I thought I should get something out since I said I would. That sounds a bit like the election, but I digress... The official forecast for Eta is below. You can see Eta will be with us for a while, maybe well into next week or even the weekend possibly. One reason I have been waiting is we really need the storm back over water for a day or two to get a better feel for what the mid to long term forecast will look like. You can see that there's a fair possibility that we'll have a storm in the Gulf early next week but that's not guaranteed. In the long term models are all over the place showing everything from a landfall anywhere from the Keys to Louisiana in the Gulf to a Florida east coast landfall with the storm then crossing back over into the Gulf. Some of the models have been downright entertaining. The good news is that there doesn't seem to be a strong consensus for a lot of intensification, but you know how this season has been going...
That's it for now, there should be some better info by Saturday I hope. Keep an eye out for Levi's videos if he posts one, they've done a really good job explaining what is going on.
Have a good end of the week and a great weekend.
Chris
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