Severe Weather Outlook for Today Through Thursday

May 4, 2021

Happy May the 4th for those of you so inclined to celebrate!

The severe weather risk for today is about the same as when we looked at it yesterday. The enhanced risk area has expanded a little bit both to the southeast and west. Damaging winds is the main threat with hail and isolated tornadoes possible as well. Stormy weather is ongoing in northern AL and central to eastern TN. This will continue to move off to the east which should bring a little clearing after lunchtime for parts north of Birmingham. This will be followed by a second system moving in from the west in the mid afternoon. It looks like we may see a squall line crossing AL from Birmingham south through the FL Panhandle from mid afternoon through the late evening with less organized stormy weather from Birmingham north. Around midnight a third round will move through southern AL bringing more storms to the FL Panhandle before daybreak. The simulated radar animation I've attached depicts all of this fairly well but expect some differences in timing and location.

Simulated Radar Through Noon Tomorrow (expect this to change)

Following today's weather a front will slowly move through the lower southeast region causing stormy weather to linger near the coast through at least Thursday morning. There will be some severe weather possible but the risk is not as high as it is today.

Today

Tomorrow

Thursday

Unless something significant pops up for tomorrow this will be my last update for this event. The weather looks pretty nice for most of the region Friday and Saturday with rain possible going into Sunday for northern AL and TN.

Have a great week and stay safe.

Chris