Tropics Are Busy - Might See a Messy Gulf System Next Week

November 3, 2022

I wanted to get a short email out about the activity in the tropics. While the 5 Day Outlook is quite busy for November there are no big concerns for the Gulf. We may get a messy/rainy system next week but I think that'll be the worst we see.

The area I mentioned a week ago became Hurricane Lisa and has made landfall in Belize. Tomorrow Lisa will enter the Bay of Campeche as a depression and meander around for a few days before dissipating.

The other area to discuss is the yellow blob stretching from the Greater Antilles to the Bahamas. The NHC gives this area a 30% chance of subtropical or tropical development over 5 days. It does look like there's a chance this system will end up in the eastern Gulf mid to late next week but right now overall conditions do not look to be supportive of significant development.

Other than that I don't expect any significant weather for a while. A front will approach the area this weekend but it doesn't look like we'll see much from it. Expect above normal temps with maybe another cool period coming around the 15th or 16th.

Have a good weekend.

Chris