Severe Weather Possible Today from Tennessee to the Coast

June 11, 2023

The "spring" severe weather season makes its return today as a late season cold front pushes through the southeast. The Storm Prediction Center is indicating an enhanced (orange) risk for severe weather for most of Tennessee and for northern Alabama south to just north of Montgomery. A slight (yellow) risk area covers most of the rest of Alabama to the south with a thin Marginal (dark green) region covering the western Florida Panhandle. While there is an isolated (2%) chance of a tornado from about Huntsville north into Tennessee, the main threat will be hail and damaging winds. In the enhanced region there is a 30% chance of hail from just north of Birmingham to the north into Tennessee with a 15% chance for most of the rest of Alabama to the south and a 5% chance right to the AL/FL line. For damaging winds there is a 30% chance from Tennessee south to almost Montgomery with a 15% chance again down to the AL/FL and a 5% chance extending to the coast. Timing graphics are shown for each area. While some storms are possible during the day, limited severe weather is expected with those. The main severe weather risk will be with a line of storms that will push across the area from the mid afternoon through tomorrow morning north to south.

Day 1 Outlook

Eastern TN

Huntsville Area

Birmingham-Montgomery

Mobile-Pensacola

It may be time to watch the tropics again towards the end of this week or beginning of next week. If you see anything on social media showing a storm hitting some area don't pay attention to it, there is no skill to the model runs going out 7+ days. I'll put out a tropical weather update in a day or two.

Stay safe if storms impact your area today and have a good Sunday.

Chris