Monday 26, 2024
I hope everyone is enjoying the holiday weekend. I'm little behind getting an update out. Strong storms, some possibly severe, should start showing up over central and eastern TN soon. These storms should clear off to the east in the late afternoon or early evening. A little later in the evening another round of storms will move in from the west and settle to the south-southeast towards the coast overnight and through tomorrow morning. It looks like this system may stall near the coast tomorrow, causing another round of showers tomorrow afternoon and evening. For the rest of today and overnight the SPC is forecasting an Enhanced risk of severe weather for northern AL and most of TN. The primary risk for central to eastern TN and north AL is damaging winds (30% chance) with a 5% chance of a tornado and 5-15% chance of hail. A Slight risk area extends south to Birmingham and includes a 15% chance of damaging winds, 2% chance of a tornado, and 5% chance of hail. A narrow marginal risk area extends south of Birmingham but not quite to Montgomery with lesser risks. For Monday there is a Slight risk of severe weather over most of AL. Damaging winds and hail are possible (5% chance) with a narrow 15% hail risk area across a portion of central and northern AL. A Marginal risk area extends into a portion of northwest Florida.
Day 1 Outlook (rest of today - 7 a.m. tomorrow)
Eastern TN (not shown, but there will be another round overnight)
Huntsville Overnight
Birmingham Area Overnight
Day 2 Outlook (7 a.m. Monday - 7 a.m. Tuesday)
Birmingham Area Tomorrow
I was thinking we were going to stay mostly dry down towards the coast but it looks like we'll have a chance at some showers and storms. I think we'll have dry weather through Wednesday morning and then a chance of rain off and on the rest of the week.
Stay safe and enjoy the holiday.
Chris
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