Severe storms are expected from late morning through the evening hours on Tuesday for parts of the Southeast, heavy rainfall is the main impact for most:
Primary Threat Areas
A Marginal Risk of severe thunderstorms exists across:
- Central and South Alabama
- Southwest Georgia
- Florida Panhandle
Hazard Types
The Storm Prediction Center outlook panels show:
- Tornado Risk: 2% probability in central Alabama and southwest Georgia
- Wind Threat: 5% probability in the same area
Primary Threats
- Isolated rotating storms and bowing segments
- Damaging wind gusts
- Possible tornadoes
- Limited severe potential due to widespread convection and cloud cover
The overall severe weather risk remains marginal, with the greatest potential for severe weather focused across the Southeast region during the Tuesday forecast period.
Valid 6 a.m. Tuesday - 6 a.m. Wednesday
Excess rainfall is also a risk:
Day 1 Rainfall Outlook (rest of today/Monday)
A Slight Risk for excessive rainfall exists along the Central Gulf Coast with:
Rainfall rates up to 2 inches per hour
Training storms possible in southwest-east oriented bands
Primary concerns for urban areas including New Orleans, Biloxi, and Mobile
Expected rainfall totals of 1-2 inches, with 20-40% chance of exceeding 3 inches
Day 2 Rainfall Outlook (Tuesday)
A Slight Risk extends from southeastern Alabama to upstate South Carolina featuring:
Areal average rainfall totals of 2-3 inches
Locally higher amounts possible
Primary impact zone from southeastern Alabama through central Georgia into upstate South Carolina
Expected rainfall:
2-3 inches widespread (locally up to 4 inches) from SE Alabama through Central GA to Upstate SC
After the rain clears out, expect another few days of cold weather. It is still expected that the second half of December will be mostly warm but there will probably be 2-4 more shots of cold air before January.
Stay safe and have a good week.
Chris
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