Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Severe/Active Pattern Continues - N. Alabama/TN Through Friday; Region-Wide This Weekend

April 2, 2025

🌩️ Weather Summary: Multiple Days of Severe Weather Possible

🔮 Short-Term Outlook (Tonight-Friday)

  • Tonight & Tomorrow: Only small portions of northern Alabama and central to eastern Tennessee under a Slight to Marginal Risk of severe weather, I'm not expecting much activity.

  • Friday (Day 3): Severe weather should be concentrated in western Tennessee, Mississippi, and areas further west, with just a general chance of thunderstorms in the northern part of our region.

Day 1, Tonight into Early a.m. Thursday

Day 2, Thursday Morning through Evening

Huntsville and Central-Eastern Tennessee Days 1 & 2

Day 3, Friday Scattered Non-severe Storms Possible

🌪️ Weekend Severe Weather Chances (Saturday-Sunday)

  • Saturday: Severe weather chances increase first for north/west Alabama and most of Tennessee.

  • Sunday: Risk shifts to south/east Alabama and the Florida Panhandle.

  • Timing: It looks like the weather may not move into northern Alabama and central to eastern Tennessee until around midnight or later with those of us to the south and east not seeing any impacts until after sunrise.

  • Risks: I'm thinking mainly a wind risk from a strong squall line, maybe a few line embedded tornadoes and a low hail chance.

Day 4, Late Saturday through 7 a.m. Sunday

Day 5, Sunday, maybe clearing by the evening

🌤️ Upcoming Pattern Change

  • After Sunday: The pattern may settle down a bit following the system's exit.

  • Monday: Folks in Tennessee may experience a few showers as a system passes to the north.

  • Thursday-Friday: Potential coastal system developing.

  • Temperature Outlook: After the weather moves out Sunday cooler air is going to move in for 4 or 5 days or maybe longer, it will be very spring-like!


Here's a look at how the last severe weather forecast performed. If you mentally stitch the maps below together you'll see there was a large area in Alabama without many reports, but otherwise the forecast was pretty good.

Verification Map from March 30

Verification Map from March 31

Stay weather-aware during this active pattern, especially as we approach the weekend! I'll send another update as we get closer to the weekend. ⚠️


Chris

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