Severe Weather Possible Late Tonight Into Sunday

April 5, 2025

🌩️ Weather Summary: Severe Weather Threat Saturday Night-Sunday

🌙 Saturday Night into Sunday

• Slight Risk Area: Central Tennessee, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle

• Marginal Risk Area: Extends north into eastern Tennessee and a bit farther west into the Panhandle

• Primary Threat: Damaging winds from a squall line

• Secondary Threat: Few tornadoes possible, mainly Sunday afternoon with strong storms that may form ahead of the squall line

 Day 1 - Very late tonight to sunrise Sunday

 Day 2 - Sunday morning through Evening

⏰ Timing

• The system will move through the area from late Saturday night into Sunday

• See the timing graphic below for detailed progression (source: James Spann)

🌤️ Outlook After the System

• Cool and clear weather expected late into the week

• Rain should return closer to the weekend

💨 System Comparison

• This system is moving east after pounding Mississippi and Ohio Valley regions for several days

• Thankfully It will be much less severe and won't stall over our area

Stay weather-aware as this system moves through, especially on Sunday afternoon when isolated tornadoes are possible ahead of the main squall line. ⚠️

Have a great weekend.

Chris

Severe/Active Pattern Continues - N. Alabama/TN Through Friday; Region-Wide This Weekend

April 2, 2025

🌩️ Weather Summary: Multiple Days of Severe Weather Possible

🔮 Short-Term Outlook (Tonight-Friday)

• Tonight & Tomorrow: Only small portions of northern Alabama and central to eastern Tennessee under a Slight to Marginal Risk of severe weather, I'm not expecting much activity.

• Friday (Day 3): Severe weather should be concentrated in western Tennessee, Mississippi, and areas further west, with just a general chance of thunderstorms in the northern part of our region.

Day 1, Tonight into Early a.m. Thursday

Day 2, Thursday Morning through Evening

Huntsville and Central-Eastern Tennessee Days 1 & 2

Day 3, Friday Scattered Non-severe Storms Possible

🌪️ Weekend Severe Weather Chances (Saturday-Sunday)

• Saturday: Severe weather chances increase first for north/west Alabama and most of Tennessee.

• Sunday: Risk shifts to south/east Alabama and the Florida Panhandle.

• Timing: It looks like the weather may not move into northern Alabama and central to eastern Tennessee until around midnight or later with those of us to the south and east not seeing any impacts until after sunrise.

• Risks: I'm thinking mainly a wind risk from a strong squall line, maybe a few line embedded tornadoes and a low hail chance.

Day 4, Late Saturday through 7 a.m. Sunday

Day 5, Sunday, maybe clearing by the evening

🌤️ Upcoming Pattern Change

• After Sunday: The pattern may settle down a bit following the system's exit.

• Monday: Folks in Tennessee may experience a few showers as a system passes to the north.

• Thursday-Friday: Potential coastal system developing.

• Temperature Outlook: After the weather moves out Sunday cooler air is going to move in for 4 or 5 days or maybe longer, it will be very spring-like!

Here's a look at how the last severe weather forecast performed. If you mentally stitch the maps below together you'll see there was a large area in Alabama without many reports, but otherwise the forecast was pretty good.

Verification Map from March 30

Verification Map from March 31

Stay weather-aware during this active pattern, especially as we approach the weekend! I'll send another update as we get closer to the weekend. ⚠️

Chris