Weather Outlook - January 15-28

January 15, 2020

Those of you that prefer some cooler weather will get your wish, more on that below. But first the wet weather will continue with a front pushing through roughly from north to south tonight through late Thursday. Another front will move in from the west late on Friday and will clear the area overnight on Saturday. Rainfall totals wont be too excessive, northern areas may see around an inch with the rest of us below that.

Temps will bump down a little Thursday night and Friday behind the first front. Things will warm a tad Saturday as a warm front moves in ahead of the second cold front. Temps Sunday through next week will be close to what I stated on the last update. The Panhandle should see lows in the 30s and 40s, highs in the upper 40s warming to the upper 50s or low 60s. Mid-Alabama should see lows in the 30s, with a maybe few nights in the upper 20s and highs in the mid 40s to mid 50s. North Alabama and Tennessee should see lows in the mid 20s or low 30s and highs in the upper 30s warming to the lower 50s. There are some signals that we all could see a night or two a little colder than what I just described. A few models are showing that the Panhandle could get below freezing, mid-Alabama may approach the mid 20s, and North Alabama and Tennessee could make a run at the upper teens. Below is what the lows may look like overnight on Tuesday. We'll have a better idea how cold it could get around Friday or Saturday.

The big story is that after Saturday it will be cool for a while. A general pattern is that when it is cool out west it is warm in the east and when it is warm out west it is cool in the east. The former pattern has been in place for a while now but it's about to switch. Right now I'm not seeing anything that suggests severe cold, but it will be cooler for sure. Both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks forecast below average temperatures in the east out to January 28th.

Furthermore our long term model, the CFS, is showing that the below average pattern may stick around through the end of February and maybe even a week or two into March.

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There is no significant severe weather threat for at least a week and after this weekend our next chance for significant precip will be towards next weekend. There's also a chance our northern areas may see some winter precip around Sunday the 26th so we'll have to watch for that.

I'll be posting a few more things to the blog (www.deepsouthwx.com) that I'm not going to email so if you're interested keep an eye out for my posts there. I'm also going to post the old Weather Nerd Corner emails I sent out in the past so that they're there for reference.

I hope you all have a good rest of the week and a great weekend.

Chris