Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Weather Outlook January 29 - February 5

January 28, 2020

Synopsis: expect generally wet weather and mild temps for the next week to 10 days.

The on again off again wet weather pattern will continue for a while, more so along the coast. Below is a satellite image of our next system now over the Southern Plains seen via the nighttime microphysics product. If you look close you can see fog near the rivers and some other areas in Mississippi and Alabama. You can learn about the product here.


Overnight light rain and maybe some snow will move into North Alabama and Tennessee. A little after daybreak rain and possibly a thunderstorm or two will move into the Panhandle and up through mid Alabama, leaving the area late Wednesday. Rainfall totals will be less than an inch for most of us.


After this we'll see a series of systems move through. Timing is subject to change but the following is the general pattern you can expect. The first system will be on Friday moving in during the morning and clearing by evening. The next will move in late Monday February 3rd or early Tuesday and clear out sometime Wednesday. Coastal areas may see yet another system around Thursday the 6th.

The GFS has been hinting at a winter storm for the southeast sometime between February 5-7. The GFS is bad about overdoing winter weather at the long end of its range especially in the southeast. It's something to watch but right now there really isn't any support from the other models. 

Temps will be seasonal or a little above average. Expect things to bounce around a bit as each system comes through but it doesn't look to get really cold. We may see a few days of warmer weather Sunday through Tuesday.

No severe weather is expected through the period.

Have a great week.

Chris

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