Synopsis: there is a marginal chance of severe weather today for the Florida Panhandle and all of Alabama and tomorrow from south Alabama north through most of Tennessee. Also, tropical storm Bertha has formed off of the South Carolina Coast...
Day 1
The SPC has expanded the marginal severe weather risk area for today northward. It now covers the Florida Panhandle and almost all of Alabama. The threats today are damaging winds and hail. Severe weather will be most likely in the afternoon.
Day 2
For tomorrow the marginal risk area covers from southern Alabama north including most of Tennessee. Damaging winds are the main threat but tornadoes are also possible. Timing for severe weather will be from the afternoon through the evening.
Bertha
Folks in South Carolina started their day with a tropical storm warning.The system that had a 30% chance of development as of 11:50 p.m. last night was named Tropical Storm Bertha at 7:30 a.m. The NHC actually issued an advisory at 6:25 a.m. increasing the chances for development to 70% and then named the storm an hour later. The 11 a.m. EDT update and track is below. From what I understand speaking to Rob with Crown Weather there wasn't as much land interaction or wind shear as was expected allowing Bertha to develop. Rob had this at a 50% chance of development yesterday. If you really want to know what's going on in the tropics I urge you to subscribe to Crown Weather.
That's it for today. Unless there's a big chance to the severe weather forecast for tomorrow I won't send another update until the weekend when there's better info about what the tropics are going to look like next week.
Chris
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