July 19, 2020
The NHC is watching an area southeast of the Bahamas. They give this system a 20% chance of development over the next 5 days as it moves west-northwest towards the Gulf. The consensus seems to be that chances for development will remain low, but it is something to watch.
Elsewhere and in the longer term, we may see a few tropical waves try to develop over the next few weeks as they move west across the Atlantic. There are no really strong signals yet but some ensemble model members show a couple of these waves trying to spin up.
That's it for today, have a great week.
Chris
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