The Storm Prediction Center has placed the northwestern third of Alabama and most of Tennessee in either slight or marginal risk areas for severe weather tomorrow due to lingering effects from Laura. These areas roughly correspond to a 5% and 2% chance of a tornado respectively. There are also 15% and 5% damaging wind risk areas as outlined in the third graphic. The simulated radar does not necessarily indicate how the situation will evolve so stay alert to local weather conditions.
Turning to the tropics, major hurricane Laura impacted the western Louisiana coast last night as a very strong category 4 hurricane. I'm sure you all have started to see some of the pictures and videos coming out of the area. We'll have to wait for the official report to see how strong it actually was, a category 5 is not out of the question. As residents in that area start to recover the rest of us need to stay prepared as we're still approaching the climatological peak of the season. On cue the NHC has identified two tropical waves that need to be watched for development on the 5-day tropical outlook. In addition to this ensemble models are hinting that there may be a series of several more waves that need to be watched over the next few weeks.
The consensus is that Laura was the start of what will be a very busy late summer and fall season as we head into September and October. We all need to stay prepared and keep watching. I'll keep you updated as the situation changes.
Stay safe and have a good Friday and great weekend.
Chris
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