September 18, 2020
Taking a quick look at the tropics this morning there's still a lot going on.
Hurricane Teddy may be a threat to the northeast US or Canadian Maritimes Tuesday or Wednesday or it may go out to sea. The bigger concern for most of us is TD 22 in the southwestern Gulf. The forecast for TD 22 is a mess. The steering influences are not very strong or certain so that makes for a difficult forecast beyond this weekend. It won't meander around forever, eventually something will pick up and move it along and we could see it moving to the northeast later next week. Right now eastern Texas and Louisiana are the places I'd be watching but that far out anything is on the table. Intensity forecast beyond the weekend is also a crapshoot so we'll just have to watch. If you want to see some models for 22, go here: https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/storm.html?tcid=AL22. Just note that this link will break if the storm gets named.
In other news, if you like cooler weather you're in for a treat. Starting this weekend areas near the coast will see highs in the 70's, maybe a day pushing toward 80, and lows in the lower 60's through mid week. Montgomery, Birmingham, and Hunstville will see lows in the mid to upper 50's and highs in the 70's, although Hunstville may stay a little warmer than places to the south with highs approaching 80. The Chattanooga area will see some even cooler temps with a few nights in the upper 40's. Things will warm up towards the end of the week but maybe we'll see cooler weather return the last week of September.
That's it for today. Have a great Friday and a great weekend. We'll know more about TD 22 around the start of the week.
Chris
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