September 28, 2020
The NHC has identified an area of interest in the northwestern Caribbean where they expect a weak low pressure system to form this week and they give this a 30% chance of tropical development over 5 days. This is what I mentioned yesterday, although I wasn't sure if or when we'd see something official about it. I didn't expect this quite as soon, it actually showed up on the 8 p.m. EDT outlook last night.
Since I'm sending an email this morning, there is a marginal chance of severe weather today extending through eastern Tennessee and most of Alabama associated with a damaging wind risk as the front moves through.
Stay safe and have a good week.
Chris
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