October 7, 2020
Hurricane Delta made landfall near Cozumel and Cancun Mexico early this morning, as a strong category 2 storm is my guess, and it will soon move out over the Gulf of Mexico. Thankfully, Delta's wind speed decreased steadily overnight up until landfall. Delta's future over the Gulf is about the same although models aren't showing quite as much restrengthening and the forward speed has increased a little. Delta is forecast to be a mid category three storm by tomorrow evening and to maintain this strength until it is close to making landfall on the central-western Louisiana coast around Friday afternoon.
As Delta progresses inland Friday and through the weekend there will likely be effects across much of Alabama, especially the central to northern areas, the western Florida Panhandle, and all of Tennessee. Localized heavy rain, gusty winds, and isolated tornado threats will be the main concerns. The National Weather Service will start to highlight any specific risks and risk areas over the next few days.
In the long term, we may need to watch both the Caribbean and the Atlantic off the southeast US for tropical development starting mid next week into the early part of the following week. There's no strong signals at this point but there are some hints at development in these areas.
This will be it for me for today unless something changes unexpectedly.
Chris
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