Severe Weather Possible Today through Thursday

March 15, 2021

Multiple days of severe weather will be possible this week with the main focus in Alabama.

Starting today, there is a marginal risk for severe weather for a large portion of Alabama including a 2% tornado probability and 5% probability of damaging wind and hail. Timing looks to be late morning into early evening for NE Alabama and early afternoon to later evening further south-southeast as a cold front moves through the area.

The same risk exists for tomorrow with the threat area extending down into the northern FL Panhandle a bit. The threat timing looks to be more in the early morning hours for northern AL and then throughout the day for the rest of the area. There will be several narrow west to east bands of weather throughout central AL that will eventually move off to the east in the late evening. Farther south, I think storms will be fairly scattered along a warm front that will slowly lift to the north.

The main event will be on Wednesday, with the SPC indicating Enhanced and Slight risk areas. We'll know more tomorrow about the specific threats and probabilities. I think the timing for the worst weather will be in the evening to overnight hours but it'll probably be late tomorrow before that is narrowed down.

As I mentioned yesterday, the threat will linger into Thursday across the eastern FL Panhandle and parts east with details to come over the next few days.

I'll pass along more details as I know them. It might be a good idea to understand how this might affect your plans over the next few days and make sure you have multiple ways of receiving alerts.

Chris