March 16, 2021
There's only one way to say this, tomorrow looks like it's going to be bad in parts of the southeast. The forecast for today is largely the same as yesterday with a marginal risk for severe weather so I won't go into that. For Wednesday the Storm Prediction Center is indicating a moderate (red) risk for severe weather for a large portion of Alabama with enhanced (orange) and slight (yellow) risk areas surrounding. Within the moderate area there is a 15% probability of tornadoes. Within the enhanced area is a 10% probability of tornadoes and 30% probability of damaging wind and hail. The black hatching indicates that significant severe weather is possible, which is EF2 tornadoes or stronger, winds exceeding 75 mph, or 2" hail or larger. Long track tornadoes will be possible. Lesser probabilities for these threats extend into the slight and marginal areas as shown. The event will begin in the early afternoon to the west-northwest across Missouri and Arkansas spreading to the southeast as the afternoon progresses. There weren't a lot of details yet this morning but I think this will most likely be a late evening and overnight threat for Alabama which is particularly dangerous.
Thursday
The threat remains for Thursday as you can see below, but the higher risk areas look to be to our east. We'll have more details tomorrow.
As always be prepared and make sure you have multiple ways of receiving alerts. If you know somebody in the higher risk areas make sure they are aware of what might happen tomorrow.
Chris
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