Update on Severe Weather for Today

April 24, 2021

The severe weather threat for today has increased with the SPC now indicating an enhanced risk for most of southern AL and the western FL Panhandle. You can see the individual probabilities for tornadoes, wind, and hail below. The hail probability is fairly high for our area, it'll be interesting to see how that verifies.

As of the time of this email, about 8:40 a.m., there are two tornado watches in effect. There are also two storms with active tornado warnings in SW GA and several other storms in the area with active severe thunderstorm warnings.

The storms moving through the FL Panhandle this morning are round one. A second round of storms is possible later this morning and lasting through the evening, some of these may be severe as well. You can see this in the model animation below with storms forming behind the first line after it passes (indicated time is Zulu time, subtract 5 hours for Central Daylight Time). The current model shows most of these storms being just north of the immediate coast but we'll see if that verifies. I will say I don't think the model has done the best job capturing the current situation, which gives doubt to its forecast, so it may be one of those days where we just have to wait and see exactly where the weather forms. I think we may see more storms form up into southern and middle AL than what is shown but that is another wait and see.

That is it for today. Stay safe and make sure you have multiple ways of receiving alerts for watches and warnings.

Have a good weekend.

Chris