June 13, 2021
The NHC is watching an area in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico for development. If it does develop it will be slow to occur with a 10% chance over two days and a 50% chance over five days. Designated Invest 92L, most models keep it bottled up where it is for the rest of the week before bringing it north across the Gulf this weekend. The short term window for development isn't very good but if it is able to survive it may have a better shot towards the end of the week. Right now a messy system with rain and wind, maybe as a weak tropical storm, moving north towards Texas and Louisiana around the weekend looks most likely. Any solution beyond midweek is not very certain so we'll need to keep watching but nothing too exciting is expected at this time.
Levi Cowan posted the first Tropical Tidbits video yesterday, he explains all of this nicely here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O3el7qjBoOo.
That is all I have for now, I'll keep you updated if something changes. Have a great week!
Chris
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