June 21, 2021
Taking a quick look at the tropics this morning, Claudette has made its way to the northeast and is now a tropical storm again near the NC/VA border. Elsewhere, the NHC is watching a tropical wave located southeast of the Windward Islands for development. Currently they give this system a 20% chance over the next 5 days but it is expected that any development will be short lived as the system encounters unfavorable conditions to its west.
In the longer term we may see some hints at development from another tropical wave coming off of Africa Wednesday into the weekend. As with the system mentioned above any development looks to be short-lived. There has been some robust tropical wave activity so far this season but it is still a bit early for those kinds of storms. Also, around the weekend or beginning of next week a disturbance may try to develop in the southwest Caribbean and head north. There's not a ton of model support on this yet so we'll see how it goes.
That's it for today. If the probability for development in the Caribbean increases I'll send out another update towards the end of the week.
Have a great week.
Chris
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