October 4, 2021
As far as the Gulf of Mexico is concerned the tropics look to stay quiet through the end of the week. The model signals showing development in the Caribbean have backed way off to the point where it looks pretty unlikely. There is a weak signal in the ensemble models that something may try to develop in the western Caribbean from Thursday this week to Tuesday next week but I would say it's an outlier solution at this point. There's a slightly stronger signal in the eastern Caribbean towards the end of next week but that's too far out to be concerned with. So reiterating, there's nothing to be concerned about at all right now.
The weather here in the Southeast looks to stay stormy and wet through Thursday or Thursday night when a cold front finally pushes this mess out of here. Severe weather isn't likely but there could be some high rainfall amounts, especially near the coast. The weekend looks pretty nice but unfortunately the front won't bring cooler weather with it.
That's it for today. I'll keep watching the tropics and let you know if there's something to watch.
Have a good week.
Chris
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