Marginal Risk of Severe Weather Today

October 6, 2021

Severe weather is ongoing near the coast this morning as we wake up and start our day. As I was writing this there was a brief tornado warning for an isolated portion of Walton County for a waterspout that was moving ashore.

Currently there are no other watches or warnings but strong storms are expected to continue along the coast for the next few hours with gusty winds and an isolated tornado or two.

Looking at the bigger picture, severe weather is possible over a large area of the southeast for the remainder of the day. The overall risk is low but all modes (strong winds, isolated tornadoes, and hail except near the coast) are possible. Timing for the greatest chance of severe storms favors the early and mid-afternoon hours for areas where the sun can break through and provide some heating ahead of storms that may form. The coast may clear after this line moves east this morning with more isolated storms forming later in the afternoon and evening. Expect another solid band to form to the west near midnight and move east through daybreak similar to this morning. For areas off the coast expect scattered storms to form after midday lasting through the evening with the most persistent weather located from Montgomery north into Tennessee. For you it may be mostly cleared up by Thursday morning with perhaps more weather later in the day on Thursday as the front sweeps through and finally gives us a break.

Not a very high risk but I wanted to give you all a heads up as a few days ago no severe weather was in the forecast.

Have a good day.

Chris