July 2, 2022
The tropics got busy this past week but it looks like things are going to settle down at least for the short term if not longer. I'm a bit late on this update having said I'd send one Monday or Tuesday. There wasn't much to report of any concern so I decided to wait. Invest 94L became Tropical Storm Bonnie right before coming ashore. It's not on the outlook anymore because it has moved on to the Eastern Pacific (and kept the same name) after making landfall right around the Nicaragua/Costa Rica border. The yellow spot in the Central Caribbean technically has a 10% chance of development but it is not expected to do much. Off the East Coast you'll notice Tropical Storm Colin. It spun up quickly overnight last night but isn't expected to strengthen as it rakes the SC and NC coasts and moves out to sea.
Looking at the week after next, there is a very subtle signal that something may try to spin up in the northern Gulf after a front passes through but right now there's not a lot of support for this idea. Other than that the tropics look light they may stay mostly quiet for a few weeks. Up here in the Southeast for the next week to 10 days expect temps to be near normal near the coast and a bit above average inland along with the typical summer thunderstorm pattern.
That's it for today. Have a great Independence Day and be safe.
Chris
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