June 25, 2022
I wanted to provide a quick update on something I didn't notice yesterday. You'll see on the 5-Day Outlook from this morning that the NHC is watching a spot in the Gulf for development. It looks like there's a decent chance that we'll see something try to spin up in the north-central Gulf around midweek from some energy left over on the tail end of a stalled front. This is a typical development mechanism this time a year, although it's getting a little late in the season for this. Models are sort of back and forth and not in disagreement but I think there's enough of a signal that we'll see something at least try to form. Three pieces of good news (for us) is that it is likely to be short-lived, not very strong, and will move off to the west-northwest. So in short this should be nothing to be concerned about.
There's not much new on Invest 94L out in the Atlantic but if anything maybe a few of the ensemble members have backed off on the stronger solutions, so good news if that trend holds.
Have a good weekend.
Chris
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