January 29, 2023
I hope everybody is enjoying the weekend. We've been in an active weather period lately and again there's a chance of severe weather in our area. For today the risk is confined near the coast with a marginal risk of severe weather for the Alabama and western Florida Panhandles including inland areas adjacent to the coast. The hazards are a 2% chance of a tornado and a 5% chance of damaging winds. While these are fairly low probabilities overall the last time they were this low and I didn't write about it there was a tornado along the beach not far from me that damaged several houses. Severe weather timing looks to be from early afternoon through the evening. The Day 1 Outlook map and timing graphics are shown below.
Day 1 Outlook (through 7 a.m. tomorrow)
Mobile-Pensacola Area
Destin-Panama City Area
Some areas could see a good bit of rain from this system, rainfall totals through the next two days are shown below.
This system will barely clear out of the area before the next one arrives by Tuesday morning for folks up north with more rain and stormy weather lingering until Friday.
For those interested here is a short write up I did on how the last several severe weather events verified: https://www.deepsouthwx.com/2023/01/last-four-severe-weather-events.html
Stay safe and have a good week.
Chris
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