Severe Weather Possible in the Western Panhandle Tuesday Night, Spreading to the East on Wednesday

January 23, 2023

Happy Monday Morning! Who says that? Anyhow, areas near the coast will see another round of severe storms tomorrow evening and into Wednesday. The greatest risk for severe weather will be from about Walton County, FL westward through the Alabama and Mississippi coasts and adjacent areas late tomorrow. The Storm Prediction Center has forecast an enhanced (orange) risk for severe weather from the FL/AL line east through part of Okaloosa County with a slight risk (yellow) extending east through Walton County. All hazards will be possible but the most significant threats are tornadoes and damaging winds. In the enhanced risk area the tornado risk is 10% with significant severe (EF2 or stronger) tornadoes possible and a 30% chance of damaging winds. To the east through Walton County the risk is 5% and 15% for tornadoes and damaging winds respectively. Severe storm timing looks to be late Tuesday into the early morning hours on Wednesday, see regional graphics below.

Later Wednesday morning the severe threat will move to the east, diminishing as it does so. Right now the SPC is only forecasting a marginal (dark green) risk of severe storms from Walton County eastward and spreading inland a bit. I'll provide details later if the risk is high enough to warrant another update but right now that is not expected.

Day 2 Outlook (7 a.m. Tuesday - 7 a.m. Wednesday)

Day 3 Outlook (7 a.m. Wednesday - 7 a.m. Thursday)

Mobile-Pensacola Area

Emerald Coast

With the severe weather threat occurring during the overnight hours it is especially important that you have multiple ways of receiving alerts. Local media outlets on TV or social media will be a great source of information once the weather gets closer. 

I'm behind on debriefing the last two severe weather events. I didn't want to clutter up this update so maybe I'll just make a blog post and link it next time. There was also a small chance of severe weather this weekend that resulted in some storm damage in the area but the risk was low enough that I didn't think it warranted an email.

Stay safe and have a good week.

Chris