March 11, 2023
Time for another round of spring severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a slight (yellow) risk of severe weather from just south of Birmingham down to the coast. A marginal (dark green) risk extends north and covers most of the rest of the state of Alabama and also covers the Apalachicola area. In the slight risk area there is a 5% tornado risk, 15% damaging wind risk, and interestingly for our area a 15% hail risk (including a chance for hail larger than 2" in the western Florida Panhandle). Lesser risks for these hazards exist in the marginal risk area as shown. Timing graphics are shown for areas that have produced them. The timing is interesting because even though the Day 2 Outlook doesn't technically take effect until 7 a.m. tomorrow morning the Birmingham NWS office is expecting severe weather as early as 1 a.m. tonight. Areas more to the south aren't expecting severe weather until sometime tomorrow.
Day 2 Outlook (valid 7 a.m. tomorrow through 7 a.m. Monday)
Montgomery-Birmingham Area
Mobile-Pensacola Area
Destin-Panama City
That's it for tonight. It'll be interesting to see if the hail threat materializes, that's fairly unusual for our area. Stay safe and as always make sure you have multiple ways of receiving alerts and monitor local media for up to date information.
By the way, this link is a post I made debriefing the last three severe weather events for anyone interested.
Have a good Sunday. Temps will be a little cooler than what we've had lately when the rain clears out. We'll see the next round of weather towards the end of the week followed by more cool weather.
Chris
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