April 26, 2023
We've had a break from the threat of severe weather now for almost two weeks but that ends tomorrow. The SPC is forecasting a Slight (yellow) risk of severe weather for southern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle with a Marginal (dark green) risk from south Alabama north into parts of central and western Tennessee. As a refresher, a Slight risk is the second of five risk levels and a Marginal risk is the first (lowest) of the five levels. If you're curious you can read more here. There is a tornado risk mostly near the coast with a 5% chance of a tornado is the western Florida Panhandle and two or three counties deep into southern Alabama with a 2% chance of a tornado for the rest of the Panhandle and extending north to about Montgomery. Damaging winds and hail risks exist also as shown. Severe weather timing starts mid to late morning tomorrow for the western most counties with storms expected to impact locations to the east in the afternoon and evening and even after dark and into Friday morning for the central and eastern FL Panhandle.
Day 2 Outlook (7 a.m. Thursday - 7 a.m. Friday)
Mobile-Pensacola Area
Destin-Panama City
Montgomery-Birmingham
As with most of the severe weather events we've had this year I don't expect any major impacts tomorrow but it's always good to know that some impacts are possible. The main impact is likely to be rainfall totals with several inches or more possible closer to the coast. Once the rain moves in tomorrow expect an active (i.e. rainy/stormy) weather pattern through Sunday or Sunday night, especially near the coast, with the exception of a break sometime Friday into maybe Saturday morning.
For those interested here is my post on how the last three or four severe weather forecasts did for our area: link (TL;DR, they were pretty good).
That's it for today. It's possible we may see another severe weather risk this weekend and if so I'll let you know. Have a great rest of the week and stay safe.
Chris
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