Two Storms Being Watched in the Tropics - No Impacts to the US

June 22, 2023

Before I get to the tropics it looks like the unsettled weather will finally be ending this weekend (a few details at the bottom)!

The National Hurricane Center is tracking Tropical Storm Bret and Tropical Depression Four out in the Atlantic. Neither of these will be a threat to the US. This was expected but has been good to let the forecast mature to make sure. Currently there are no other areas of tropical development expected in the Atlantic. You can stop reading here if you want.

Tropical Storm Bret is expected to bring some impacts to the Lesser Antilles before moving into the Caribbean and dissipating. Notice that the 5-Day forecast only goes out to Saturday as Bret is not expected to survive past day 3.

Tropical Depression Four is expected to strengthen a little to tropical storm strength later today or tomorrow and that should more or less be the strongest it will be. As it moves west it is expected to be picked up by a steering feature that will pull it to the northwest on a track that will likely miss this islands where it will then track into the Western Atlantic and weaken.

Other than these two storms there are no other areas being watched. There is another tropical wave behind TD 4 that looked like it may try to develop but models have mostly dropped that idea, though not completely. The NHC hasn't identified it as an area to watch so it's nothing to be concerned about. The Eastern Pacific, which hasn't seen any development yet, is still being watched for development with a storm likely to form in the next week. I mentioned a few updates ago that sometimes activity in this area can indicate that the Western Caribbean may become active a few weeks later. Really I'm not seeing anything to suggest activity in this area any time soon, so I'm more or less bringing it up to tell you there are no concerns about what I said previously.

If you're still reading, we can see the light at the end of the tunnel regarding the stormy weather pattern in the Southeast. The severe weather threat has already backed off and we'll see the stormy pattern break up this weekend. It is summer so we'll still have our daily chance of pop up storms but the high rain chances look to be over for a while starting Saturday or Sunday.

Have a good end of the week and a great weekend.

Chris