Tropical Storm Lee Likely to Miss the Gulf, May Impact the East Coast

September 6, 2023

I wanted to send out a quick update on the tropics this morning. The tropical wave coming off of Africa that I mentioned on Friday is now Tropical Storm Lee. You're likely to see some mention of this in the news as Lee is forecast to become a category 4 storm in about 3 days. In fact it could even get to category 5 strength. The good news is that in the short term it looks like Lee will probably miss the islands to the north. For the long term track I feel pretty confident that Lee will stay out of the Gulf. Lee will be steered around the western edge of a high pressure and it is likely that it will make a turn to the northwest while it is still in the Atlantic. This is good news for us on the Gulf Coast but Lee could be a threat to the Bahamas or the East Coast late next week.

That's it for today. I was going to share some model plots but I don't think they add any value right now. As it is I don't have any concerns at this point but I'll keep watching it just in case...

"Squalls out on the gulf stream
Big storm commin' soon..."

Trying to Reason With Hurricane Season - Jimmy Buffett

Chris