Severe Weather Possible for AL and FL Sunday and Monday then Cooler Temps Returning

February 10, 2024

It's been about two weeks since our last severe weather event but another few days of active weather are upon us. A messy weather system will move into the area tomorrow and will clear when a cold front pushes through on Monday. Severe weather will be possible starting tomorrow afternoon and possibly lasting through Monday morning or later for the eastern-most areas. For Sunday there is a Slight risk of severe weather for the southwestern quarter of AL with a Marginal risk area extending throughout most of the rest of the state and the western FL Panhandle. On Monday there is a Slight risk of severe weather throughout most of northern FL excluding Escambia County and extending into southeast AL. A Marginal risk area covers much of the rest of the state of Alabama. Damaging winds will be the main threat but isolated tornadoes will also be possible with the threat for both lower in the Marginal areas. Severe timing looks to be from the afternoon through the overnight hours for areas to the west and from Monday morning into maybe the afternoon for areas to the east. Timing graphics are shown below.

Day 2 (6 a.m. Sunday - 6 a.m. Monday)

Day 3 (6 a.m. Monday - 6 a.m. Tuesday)

Birmingham Area

Mobile-Pensacola Area

Destin-Panama City Sunday

Destin-Panama City Monday

I'm not expecting this to be a significant event but there will probably be some isolated impacts from strong winds and perhaps a few tornadoes so don't let your guard down.

This is a bit overdue, but I finally finished my review of the multi-day severe weather event we had in early January. You can read it here. Also, verification maps for the last severe weather event we had on the 25th and 27th of January are below. The forecast for the 25th was pretty good, but it doesn't seem like the threat on the 27th materialized in our area.

January 25th Verification

January 27th Verification

After the front moves out on Monday expect temps to drop to slightly below normal values through nearly the end of the month. It won't be "cold" by any means but it will be cooler than it has been. The weather looks dry Tuesday through Thursday with rain returning (mostly near the coast) Friday and Saturday.

That's it for it. It was a long update but I had some things to catch up on.

Stay safe.

Chris