Update on Today and Tonight's Severe Weather Forecast

May 9, 2024

I know it can be fatiguing to receive severe weather information several days in a row so I try to limit updates to when I think it is really necessary. Some of the details for today/tonight and tomorrow are the same but there is some new information I think is important to pass on. The biggest change is the possibility of severe weather nearer to the coast from the late morning through afternoon and possibly the evening closer to the coast, in addition to the ongoing weather in northern and central Alabama and the storms expected overnight.

Pictures are worth a thousand words, so I'm going to let them do the talking today. You'll see that two rounds of severe weather are possible for each area, with different threats expected during the different timeframes.

One thing to note is that we may see a Moderate Risk area (level 4 out of 5) pop up across central/southern Alabama to include a 45% chance of damaging winds (currently Enhanced with a 30% chance) if confidence grows that a strong MCS (mesoscale convective system) or bow echo/derecho event may occur overnight. These are fast moving bow-shaped lines of strong or very strong storms that feed off their own energy to propagate themselves over long distances.

Birmingham-Montgomery Area First Round

Birmingham-Montgomery Area Second Round

Inland Mobile-Pensacola Area First Round

Coastal and Inland Mobile-Pensacola Area Second Round

Destin-Panama City Expected Threats

Destin-Panama City First Round Timing

Destin-Panama City Second Round Timing

That's it for now and hopefully the last update for this weather system. Enjoy the nice weather this Mother's Day weekend and get ready for a rainy/stormy start to the week on Monday.

Chris