June 14, 2024
Here's a quick Friday morning update on the tropics. Looking at the 7 Day Outlook, we almost have a fruit salad out there, we just need another lemon or orange or maybe a strawberry.
Invest 90L (yellow X) in the Atlantic is no concern. There were some thoughts that it could develop out there but that doesn't look to be the case. It did deliver a massive amount of rain to south Florida, which just proves again that you don't even need a named storm to have severe impacts.
The orange spot in the Bay of Campeche is indicating that a disturbance may try to form in that area after the weekend. I think the chances of seeing a strong storm down there are low, but unfortunately Mexico and parts of Texas and maybe Louisiana may get a lot of rain as this system moves to the northwest. It is possible that a storm could spin up but I don't expect impacts east of Louisiana at this point.
We may need to keep watching the same general area (northwest and western Caribbean) as we get closer to next weekend and the last full week of June for another system to develop. By far there is nothing for certain but models have been consistent enough that it bears keep a close eye on things down there.
Otherwise it is going to be hot! We will have very warm weather today and Saturday, with the heat subsiding a bit on Sunday and into next week. Expect mostly dry weather through the weekend. Coastal areas will see rain chances return later on Sunday and into the start of the week with inland areas having the best chance of rain on Monday.
That's it for today, have a great weekend.
Chris
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