Active Weather Pattern Coming Followed by Cooler Temps

February 10, 2025

I hope you have enjoyed the warm and mostly dry weather (false spring), I know I have, because starting tonight an active weather pattern is beginning that will last through mid next week:

Upcoming Weather Systems

• The first system arrives tonight into tomorrow from north to south
• The second system quickly follows on Wednesday (severe weather possible), with mostly dry weather Thursday into Friday
• The third system is expected Saturday into Sunday (another round of severe weather possible)
• A fourth system is possible mid-next week, we'll see if the pattern breaks after this

Below is the GFS from polarwx.com through next Thursday to give you an idea what the pattern will look like, details and timing subject to change

Severe Weather Potential

• Possible severe weather on Wednesday, perhaps lingering into Thursday
• Another round of severe weather possible on Saturday

Day 3 (Wednesday) Severe Weather Outlook, Thursday TBD

Day 6 (Saturday) Severe Weather Outlook

Rainfall

• Northern Alabama and Tennessee may receive 4-6+" of rain over the next 7 days, with amounts tapering off to 1-2" towards the coast

Total Rainfall Through Thursday Morning

Total Rainfall Through the Morning of Monday the 17th

Temperature Changes

• Expect a slight dip in temps Thursday night and Friday morning
• A sharper cooldown is expected Sunday night after the weekend system
• Freezing to near freezing temperatures near the coast
• Mid 20s°F in central Alabama
• Low 20s to mid-teens in northern Alabama and Tennessee
• Short warmup Tuesday and Wednesday as the fourth system moves through mid next week
• More prolonged temperature drop expected at the end of next week through the weekend, but right now it doesn't look to get quite as cold as Monday

Winter Weather

• Low chance of winter weather in northern Alabama and Tennessee with the third and fourth systems, but this is currently not very likely

I will provide more details on the severe weather threat as it approaches and any other updates as warranted. By the way, the last severe weather risk day on January 31st produced no severe weather reports in our area.

Have a good week.

Chris