October 11, 2021
The tropics continue to look relatively quiet this morning. You'll see on the 5-Day Outlook that there are a few areas being watched but I don't think these will be of any concern for the Gulf Coast. In the longer term there is still the possibility of tropical development from the western Caribbean up through the Gulf from mid next week to early the following week (October 20-25th). The model signals for this aren't very strong but they have been consistent.
The weather this week looks to be pretty nice. Northwest AL may see some rain tonight into tomorrow but most of the week looks clear otherwise. Once we get into Friday and Saturday rain chances will pick up with a passing front with the weather clearing by Sunday. Temps will continue to cool down as we head farther into fall but really cool weather seems to be elusive. We may see a bit of a cool down after the frontal passage this weekend but don't expect lows below 50 except for perhaps northern AL and TN which may see a night or two in the upper 40's.
Below are a few rainfall maps from our most recent rain event, I think there are some locally higher totals not captured in these. If you're curious, the bottom map shows our rainfall to date as a percent of normal. If the trend keeps up many of us will finish the year well above normal. I'm not sure about elsewhere but some areas along the coast are on pace to set all time records.
FL (most recent event):
AL (most recent event):
TN (most recent event):
SE (year to date % of normal):
That's it for today, fairly benign weather on tap for the near future.
Have a good week.
Chris
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