March 23, 2023
The potential for severe weather is knocking at the door again for late tomorrow night through Saturday morning. While the main severe weather corridor for tomorrow will be to our west the Storm Prediction Center is forecasting an enhanced (orange) through marginal (dark green) risk of severe weather from northwest to southeast Alabama and western to eastern Tennessee respectively with a slight (yellow) risk area in between. A marginal risk area is indicated for the western most Florida Panhandle as well. The main threat from this event will be damaging winds with an isolated to scattered tornado threat and 5% hail threat for the northwestern half of Alabama as well. The severe weather risk will then carry over into Saturday morning with a marginal risk shown for the central Florida Panhandle and southeast Alabama. Details haven't been provided yet but I expect the main risk to be damaging winds with perhaps an isolated tornado risk (2-5%).
Timing graphics are shown for most regions. For Destin through Panama City expect the potential for severe weather Saturday from around 6 a.m. through noon or so. For central to eastern Tennessee expect severe weather from late Friday evening through daybreak Saturday.
Day 2 (7 a.m. Friday - 7 a.m. Saturday)
Day 3 Outlook (7 a.m. Saturday - 7 a.m. Sunday)
Huntsville Area
Birmingham Area
Mobile-Pensacola
The front bringing us the stormy weather looks like it will stall along the coast later Saturday into Sunday morning. This will leave us with messy weather that will slowly clear from Birmingham south from Sunday through Tuesday.
Below is the verification map from the March 17th severe weather event. I would have expected a few more damaging wind reports but the tornado forecast verified fairly well (although the two reported were located close together).
That's it for today. Again, I'm not expecting a high impact event for our area but it is always good to be prepared.
Have a good weekend,
Chris
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