Update - Severe Weather Risk Area Expanded to the Coast, Threat Increased

April 1, 2024

I apologize for the multiple emails. Had I thought the forecast would change this much I would have waited. I hesitated sending this update thinking that sending one tomorrow morning would have even better information (it will) but I wanted to get the word out early. Getting to it, the SPC has expanded the Enhanced and Slight risk areas for tomorrow and has increased the threat within these areas. The Enhanced risk area now covers northern Alabama down to the northern suburbs of Birmingham and most of the state of Tennessee save for the western most portion. A Slight risk area now extends all the way down to the coast covering the rest of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle to just east of Tallahassee. The entire Enhanced region now has a 10% chance of seeing a tornado, with most/some of this area as shown in the black hatched areas at risk of significant severe weather including EF2 tornadoes or stronger and damaging winds 75mph or stronger. There is also a 30% chance of hail in the Enhanced risk area. In the Slight risk area there is a 5% chance of a tornado, 15% chance of damaging winds, and 15% chance of hail.

Timing details remain the same. Expect severe weather to be possible from the afternoon through the evening for TN and northern AL, from early evening to early morning for middle AL, and late evening through the early morning hours for southern AL and coastal areas.

Updated Day 2 Outlook (7 a.m. tomorrow - 7 a.m. Wednesday)

That's it for now. Again, I apologize for the second email but this is a fairly significant change. If the forecast changes again tomorrow morning I'll let you know.

Chris