Severe Weather Likely Today and Tonight Across Alabama and the Florida Panhandle

February 12, 2025

The severe weather risk has increased across the Southeast today and tonight:

Risk Levels and Affected Areas

Day 1 Outlook valid through 6 a.m. Thursday

• Enhanced Risk (Orange, Level 3/5):
  • Area: North of Mobile northeast through Montgomery
  • Threats: 10% chance of tornadoes (possibly EF2 or stronger), 15-30% chance of damaging winds, 5% chance of hail
• Slight Risk (Yellow):
  • Area: Most of Alabama north to Birmingham, Florida Panhandle east to Destin/Crestview
  • Threats: 5% chance of tornadoes, 15% chance of damaging winds
• Marginal Risk (Dark green):
  • Area: North Alabama (including Huntsville), Florida Panhandle to Panama City
  • Threats: 2% chance of tornadoes, 5% chance of damaging winds

Timing

• Mobile/Pensacola area: Two rounds possible
  1. 11 a.m. to 5 p.m. (mainly isolated to an area north of Mobile)
  2. 9 p.m. to 4 a.m. (main round), starting and ending earlier west to east
  
  
  
  
  
• Central/Northern Alabama: Early afternoon to early evening start, lasting until morning, starting and ending earlier west to east

• Florida Panhandle (east of Pensacola): Late evening today to Thursday afternoon, again starting and ending earlier from west to east

Rest of today through 6 a.m. Thursday

Valid Thursday 6 a.m. to Friday 6 a.m., storms expected to end in the afternoon

Reports from Yesterday

• Damage reported in Pensacola area, possible tornado
• Funnel clouds/waterspouts observed in Okaloosa County, Foley (AL), and over Mobile Bay

Future Outlook

• Increasing severe weather threat for Saturday, primarily in west-central Alabama
• More details on Friday

Heavy rainfall and possible flooding continues to be a risk as well. Most areas may experience severe weather during the nighttime hours, this is a good time to remind you to have multiple ways of receiving warnings.

Stay safe, more to come on the severe threat over the weekend.

Chris