May 19, 2025
đŠ️ Weather Summary: Active Weather Continues With Severe Chances Today and Tomorrow for AL and TN
đŽ Today (Monday, May 19)
Slight Risk Area: Narrow corridor across central and eastern Tennessee
15% chance of damaging winds and hail
Marginal Risk Area: Extends into northern Alabama
5% chance of damaging winds and hail
Timing: Afternoon through mid-evening
Central and Eastern Tennessee
Huntsville Area
⛈️ Tomorrow (Tuesday, May 20)
Enhanced Risk Area: Northwest Alabama and central Tennessee (including Huntsville and Nashville)
Tornado Threat: 10% chance, including possibility of EF2+ tornadoes
Damaging Winds: 30% chance
Large Hail: 15% chance
Slight Risk Area: Extends south/east (including Birmingham and Chattanooga)
5% chance of tornadoes
15% chance of damaging winds and hail
Timing: Tuesday afternoon through early Wednesday morning
Huntsville Area
Birmingham Area
Central and Eastern Tennessee
đ¤️ Coming Weather Pattern
Wednesday-Thursday: Late season cool air moves in after system clears
Lows in the upper 40s in Tennessee
50s possible almost to the coast
Memorial Day Weekend: Weak stalled front may bring a few showers (not as clear as I had hoped)
Next Week: Stronger weather system expected around mid-week
đ Notable Pattern
The relatively high tornado threat in northwest Alabama tomorrow is unusual this far south this late in May
Current pattern features a strong late season mid-latitude cyclone (our normal weather pattern for fall through spring)
Stay weather-aware during this active period, particularly Tuesday when tornado threats are elevated! ⚠️
đĒ️ Previous Severe Weather Debrief
Last week before last the coast was dealing with a stalled front and several days of severe weather
Here is how each day panned out, including a few days where I wasn't expecting severe weather
Stay safe. Have a good week and enjoy the holiday weekend.
Chris
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